Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.741439 0.848692 0.965108 1.100739 1.254299 1.422647 1.621080
2025-01-19 0.569324 0.712472 0.881103 1.093927 1.354860 1.663826 2.056893
2025-01-26 0.473061 0.642361 0.857229 1.148728 1.532544 2.019190 2.681401
2025-02-02 0.403072 0.590269 0.844725 1.213509 1.731544 2.430082 3.439602
2025-02-09 0.334409 0.525777 0.803157 1.230642 1.868102 2.777608 4.166155
2025-02-16 0.278101 0.467407 0.758775 1.234196 1.983319 3.108926 4.915590
2025-02-23 0.234466 0.419533 0.720812 1.239189 2.098662 3.452944 5.728353
2025-03-02 0.199257 0.378260 0.685457 1.240922 2.206566 3.796564 6.582971
2025-03-09 0.174283 0.349685 0.665885 1.264580 2.351888 4.216000 7.611098
2025-03-16 0.149316 0.316116 0.631444 1.255526 2.437347 4.542935 8.520575
2025-03-23 0.133515 0.297130 0.620352 1.286725 2.598010 5.017808 9.743682
2025-03-30 0.115710 0.270539 0.589969 1.275461 2.675928 5.350215 10.744437
2025-04-06 0.103237 0.253249 0.576024 1.296015 2.820939 5.829754 12.088494
2025-04-13 0.088316 0.227513 0.540086 1.265154 2.857614 6.104599 13.070042
2025-04-20 0.081350 0.219063 0.540447 1.312647 3.064645 6.743095 14.853202
2025-04-27 0.076131 0.213870 0.547319 1.375692 3.313744 7.496620 16.959130
2025-05-04 0.068430 0.200760 0.533346 1.388136 3.451292 8.030140 18.660671
2025-05-11 0.061034 0.186919 0.515222 1.387668 3.558703 8.509991 20.299298
2025-05-18 0.054743 0.174817 0.499410 1.390347 3.673624 9.019033 22.058856
2025-05-25 0.049123 0.163453 0.483571 1.390392 3.781864 9.524491 23.865374
2025-06-01 0.045147 0.156186 0.477587 1.415491 3.956283 10.204096 26.151545
2025-06-08 0.040335 0.145247 0.459439 1.404610 4.036215 10.665559 27.966611
2025-06-15 0.037529 0.140214 0.457483 1.438770 4.239923 11.452787 30.658880